NFL Odds, Lines, Point Spreads: Updated Playoff Betting Info to Pick Each Wildcard Game

NFL Odds, Lines, Point Spreads: Updated Playoff Betting Info to Pick Each Wildcard Game

The 2021 NFL regular season gave punters a kick start on the exit when the Jaguars managed to pull off their second surprise as a double-digit underdog of the season. They beat the Colts 26-11 and knocked Indy out of the playoffs. Only 14 teams remain standing and with the top two seeds on the bye, players will have to choose their bets carefully from a list of three matches.

There will be a lot of action on these six games. There is always when the market condenses and the bad to unpredictable teams are eliminated. Now that’s just the best of the best, so there won’t be any double-digit outsiders, right?

Well, not exactly. There’s one more on the slate. The Chiefs started off as 12.5-point favorites over the Steelers, who slipped into the playoffs thanks to the Raiders’ victory over the Chargers in “Sunday Night Football.” The Chiefs beat Pittsburgh by 26 points just a few weeks ago, so it’s understandable that they’re heavily favored in this game.

That said, savvy bettors will keep an eye out for the latest betting lines, trends, odds and injuries to see how far the spread can move throughout the week. There is not a lot of Major Injuries plaguing these teams, but there are lingering ones for Matthew Stafford (back), Jimmy Garoppolo (thumb) and even Joe Burrow (knee) that should be watched. They’ll almost certainly play through them barring major setbacks, but if they’re not in full health it can impact line movement.

For more expert predictions on the NFL, check out Sporting News’ Direct and Against the Spread picks for the NFL Super Wild Card Weekend.

WEEK 18 CHOICE: Against the spread | Directly

NFL odds for the joker round

Below are the latest NFL odds for the Wildcard weekend, including point spreads, margins and passing totals for each game, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.

Last update: Wednesday January 12.

NFL point spreads in jokers round

Game Propagated
Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals CIN -6
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills BUF -4
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers To -8.5
San Francisco 49ers vs. Dallas Cowboys DAL -3
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs KC -12.5
Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams LAR -4

NFL Silver Lines Wildcard Ride

Game Moneyline
Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals LV +225
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills NE +176
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers PHI +340
San Francisco 49ers vs. Dallas Cowboys FS +138
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs PIT +520
Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams ARI +176

NFL over-under round joker

Game More less
Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals 49
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills 43.5
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers 49
San Francisco 49ers vs. Dallas Cowboys 50.5
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs 46.5
Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams 50.5

Best NFL Bets for the Wildcard Round

49ers (+3) at Cowboys

It’s going to be a popular upset choice, and there’s a good reason for it. The 49ers have been playing well lately and as a three-point underdog it is worth giving it a shot.

Dallas looks good on paper. They are n ° 1 in the general classification DVOA measure of football outsiders, which “breaks down the entire season game by game, comparing the success of each game to the league average based on a number of variables including down, distance, location on the pitch , the current score gap, the quarterback and the quality of the opponent ”.

However, despite their high ranking, the Cowboys did not fare well against the other teams in the top 10 DVOA. They have faced four opponents who rank in the top 10 this season. They are just 1-3 against them, and their only overtime win came against the Patriots.

The week Team DVOA classification Results
1 Buccaneers 3rd L, 31-29
6 Patriots 4th F, 35-29 (OT)
11 Chefs 7th L, 19-9
17 Cardinals 10th L, 25-22

Why is this important? San Francisco is sixth in the NFL in DVOA, so they should be able to give the Cowboys a hard time, much like these other teams have. Even if they don’t win, the 49ers will be able to stay the course, just like the Patriots did.

Some may balk at this DVOA theory because the 49ers are only 2-5 against teams with the top 10 DVOA scores themselves. That said, the 49ers don’t have to win this game; they just have to cover the gap, which they have done well this year.

Surprisingly, the 49ers were only an underdog in three games and posted a 2-1 ATS record. Their only non-cover was a seven-point loss to the Cardinals as a six-point underdog. If you remember, Trey Lance started this game and was stopped inches from the goal line for a touchdown, so to say they failed to cover a few inches isn’t an exaggeration. As such, betting on the 49ers as an underdog in this game looks very appealing.

Professional bettors seem to agree with this opinion at the moment. To start the week, there was an 8% advantage over the 49ers, per BetQL. We’ll be on their side here as well, although the pro money edge is close enough that it’s something to watch out for throughout the week.

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Cardinals (+4) to Rams

The Cardinals may not be the same team they were earlier in the season when they likely appeared to be the NFC No.1 seed, but they are a good choice as an underdog against the Rams. Why? Due to Matthew Stafford’s struggle to win against teams with record wins.

During his career, Stafford is just 11-71 against teams with a winning record. This includes a score of 1 to 9 against teams with 10 or more wins. Granted, that victory came against the Cardinals this year, but historically Stafford has struggled with high-end competition. And maybe he can lead the Rams to a win in this one, but expecting him to do it by more than one field goal isn’t a good bet.

It’s also worth noting that Stafford has struggled with turnovers lately. In his last four games, he has eight interceptions against eight touchdowns. He threw a pick in each of four games and the Rams lost or tied the battle for turnover in each game as a result.

The Rams managed to win despite Stafford’s mistakes. They posted a cumulative revenue margin of minus three, but still posted a record 3-1.

These winning paths seem unlikely to continue if Stafford does battle against the Cardinals. Arizona has recorded one interception in nine games this season. When they register an interception, they go straight 7-2. That includes a 37-20 win over the Rams in Week 4, in which they got a plus-two rating in the battle for turnover.

If Stafford can avoid interceptions like he did in the Rams’ 30-23 win over the Cardinals in Week 14, then the Rams could stand a chance to cover. That said, Stafford is hard to be trusted given his recent performance so the Cardinals (+4) are a safer bet. And for the more daring punters, the Moneyline Cardinals (+176) could be a risk to take.

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Bills (-4) vs. Patriots

The Bills and Patriots have split their 2021 season streak, but that’s not really the case to feel as they did. The Bills held Mac Jones in check in both games they played; they just weren’t able to win the first, a bizarre windy game in Buffalo when Jones threw just three passes while Sean McDermott, Josh Allen and the Bills couldn’t pull themselves together.

Things changed during the second meeting. Jones managed to pass and needed to, but Buffalo’s strong defense slowed him down. He completed 14 of 32 passes for 145 yards and two interceptions. He didn’t register a touchdown pass.

It’s more like the Jones we’ll see in the wild card trick. Part of it has to do with his struggles in the last handful of games since the Patriots left off at the end of the season, but the biggest factor here is that the Bills sport the NFL’s stingiest defense. They are allowing just 272.8 yards per game. No other NFL team allows less than 305.

Statistics per match Total Rank
Authorized meters 272.8 1st
Authorized overtaking sites 163 1st
Authorized points 17 1st

The Bills have also performed particularly well against rookie quarterbacks this year. They faced Jones (twice), Zach Wilson, Trevor Lawrence and Davis Mills. Over those five games, quarterbacks averaged a 48 completion percentage while throwing for an average of 90.6 yards (108.5 if you take the play out of Jones’ wind). The four rookies combined to throw a single touchdown and six interceptions.

So, in short, trusting a rookie quarterback against a top Bills defense doesn’t seem like a good move. Maybe Bill Belichick will find a way to separate Buffalo’s defense, but it seems more likely that he will try to win with a heavily loaded game plan. It might work – it’s only supposed to be 9 degrees Fahrenheit on Saturday night – but if Allen and the Bills get ahead, the Patriots might struggle to pass to catch up.

Therefore, rolling with the bills at -4 seems like a good value. BetQL agrees with us. Their model considers the game to be a three-star (out of five) bet and estimates the spread should be -5 instead of -4. It’s a full line value point that we’ll be happy to get in this divisional battle.

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